BOSTON (CBS) – Because the leaves flip colours and start to fall, temperatures drop and maybe you discover that first frost on the grass and even see the primary snowflakes of the season, we’re immediately excited about what this winter shall be like.
That is the time of 12 months once we meteorologists try and predict what the upcoming coldest months of the 12 months shall be like. For weeks, we analyze charts and graphs, traits and climatology. We glance to the oceans, the arctic and even Siberia for hints. However, are we simply complicating issues?
Some specialists would say all you need to do is go exterior and let nature be your information.
There are some organic markers equivalent to vegetation which have a documented historical past of sure patterns which are stated to correlate to the upcoming winter situations. When flowers that normally bloom throughout the spring bloom once more within the fall, winter shall be chilly. In the event you discover a giant berry crop, that may be a sign the next winter shall be a chilly one.
Possibly it’s an animal’s intuition that may inform us about winter. A harsh winter could in retailer in case you see a snowy owl arrive early, or witness the early migration of geese, geese and even monarch butterflies.
There’s even a well-liked phrase “squirrels gathering nuts in a flurry will trigger snow to assemble in a rush.” This saying ties with the idea that many acorns in a given 12 months is commonly an indication of considerable snowfall on the way in which.
Even bugs have been linked to predicting winter climate. In the event you spot bees’ nests excessive within the timber or ants marching in a single file, folklore suggests the winter shall be harsh.
Nonetheless, there is no such thing as a creature, huge or small (except the groundhog) that’s extra famend for his or her climate prediction than that of the woolly bear caterpillar. Wooly worms are black and brown and if the brown phase is small, the winter is claimed to be chilly and lengthy. If the brown half takes up many of the caterpillar then the winter is meant to be delicate.
Have you ever seen one but?
Imagine it or not, the woolly caterpillar’s prediction has been studied now for over 80 years! Dr. Charles Curran, a curator of bugs at New York Metropolis’s American Museum of Pure Historical past discovered an 80% accuracy again within the Nineteen Forties with woolly worm.
So, might winter forecasting truly be as straightforward as stepping exterior and observing nature? We’ll see, however for now I believe we’re nonetheless going to depend on expertise to information our forecasts.
What do you assume? We need to hear your winter forecast! Give us your prediction for the ultimate snowfall complete this winter at Logan Airport. The winner will obtain a season ski go to Wachusett Mountain. Good Luck!