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Tight Colombian runoff pits former rebel against millionaire

JONATHAN DESVERNEY by JONATHAN DESVERNEY
June 19, 2022
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BOGOTA, Colombia — Colombians have been selecting between a former insurgent and an unpredictable millionaire Sunday in a presidential runoff that guarantees to reshape the nation after a primary spherical election that punished the established political class.

Polls present leftist Gustavo Petro and outsider Rodolfo Hernández — each former mayors — virtually tied since topping 4 different candidates within the preliminary Could 29 election wherein neither obtained sufficient votes to win outright, forcing the runoff. About 39 million persons are eligible to vote Sunday, however abstentionism has been above 40% in each presidential election since 1990.

The vote comes amid widespread discontent over rising inequality, inflation and violence — components that led voters within the first spherical to show their backs on the long-governing centrist and right-leaning politicians and selected two outsiders in Latin America’s third-most populated nation.

Petro, a 62-year-old senator, is in his third presidential marketing campaign. His victory would put an finish to voters’ long-held marginalization of the left attributable to its affiliation with the nation’s lengthy armed battle. Petro was as soon as a insurgent with the now-defunct M-19 motion and was granted amnesty after being jailed for his involvement with the group.

He has proposed bold pension, tax, well being and agricultural reforms and modifications to how Colombia fights drug cartels and different armed teams. He obtained 40% of the votes throughout final month’s election and Hernández 28%, however the distinction rapidly narrowed as Hernández started to draw so-called anti-Petrista voters.

Petro might develop into the newest leftist political victory in Latin America fueled by voters’ need for change. Chile, Peru and Honduras elected leftist presidents in 2021, and in Brazil, former President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva is main the polls for this 12 months’s presidential election.

In the meantime, the 77-year-old Hernández, who made his cash in actual property, will not be affiliated with any main political social gathering and has rejected alliances. His austere marketing campaign, waged totally on TikTok and different social media platforms, was self-financed.

His proposals are based mostly on a combat in opposition to corruption, which he blames for poverty and the lack of state sources that might be used on social applications. He desires to cut back the scale of presidency by eliminating varied embassies and presidential workplaces, turning the presidential palace right into a museum and decreasing using the president’s plane fleet.

Hernández surged late within the first-round marketing campaign previous extra standard candidates and shocked many when he completed second. He has confronted controversies together with saying he admired Adolf Hitler earlier than apologizing and saying that he meant to discuss with Albert Einstein.

Outgoing conservative President Iván Duque on Sunday urged Colombians to vote and belief the establishments “with full confidence within the verdict of the folks.” The federal government stated it had details about potential demonstrations deliberate after polls closed and rejected upfront any acts of violence.

Petro had questioned election authorities in the course of the marketing campaign and stated he would analyze after polls closed whether or not he accepts the outcomes.

After casting his poll, he referred to as on supporters to vote in giant numbers to “defeat any try at fraud” and claimed, with out exhibiting proof, that voters in some polling stations have been being given ballots beforehand marked as clean votes in an try and “cancel votes that will go for the change.”

Silvia Otero Bahamón, a political science professor on the College of Rosario, stated that though each candidates are populists who “have an ideology based mostly on the division between the corrupt elite and the folks,” every sees their combat in opposition to the institution otherwise.

“Petro pertains to the poor, the ethnic and cultural minorities of probably the most peripheral areas of the nation,” Otero stated, whereas Hernández’s supporters “are the individuals who have been let down by politicking and corruption. It’s a looser neighborhood, which the candidate reaches immediately by way of social networks.”

Polls present most Colombians consider the nation is heading within the improper path and disapprove of Duque, who was not eligible to hunt reelection. The pandemic set again the nation’s anti-poverty efforts by no less than a decade. Official figures present that 39% of Colombia’s lived on lower than $89 a month final 12 months.

The rejection of politics as normal “is a mirrored image of the truth that the persons are fed up with the identical folks as at all times,” stated Nataly Amezquita, a 26-year-old civil engineer ready to vote. “Now we have to create higher social change. Many individuals within the nation aren’t in one of the best situation.”

However even the 2 outsider candidates left her chilly. She stated she would solid a clean poll: “I don’t like both of the 2 candidates…. Neither of them looks as if an excellent particular person to me.”

Many citizens have been basing their determination on what they don’t want, as an alternative of what they do need.

“Many individuals stated, ‘I don’t care who’s standing in opposition to Petro, I’m going to vote for whomever represents the opposite candidate, no matter who that particular person is,’” stated Silvana Amaya, a senior analyst with the agency Management Dangers. “That additionally works the opposite manner round. Rodolfo has been portrayed as this loopy previous man, communication genius and indulgent character (so) that some folks say: ‘I don’t care who I’ve to vote for, however I don’t need him to be my president.’”

Both can have a troublesome time delivering on guarantees as neither has a majority in Congress, which is vital to finishing up reforms.

In latest legislative elections, Petro’s political motion obtained 20 seats within the Senate, a plurality, however he would nonetheless should make concessions in negotiations with different events. Hernández’s political motion solely has two representatives within the decrease home, so he would even have to hunt agreements with lawmakers, whom he has alienated by repeatedly calling “thieves.”

———

Garcia Cano reported from Caracas, Venezuela.



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