It was final week when frequent guests to Fangraphs’ MLB Playoff Odds web page, nerds resembling myself, seen the Yankees’ probabilities to achieve the postseason tick over into brain-melting, semi-comedic mid-June territory:
Make Playoffs: one hundred pc.
Sure, following a business-as-usual 2-0 victory over the Rays on June 14, with a whopping 101 video games remaining, the Yankees (45-16 on the time, 5 video games into an eventual nine-game profitable streak) had been a lock to make it to October, per the location’s superior projections.
After their Tuesday video games, the Yankees remained at one hundred pc whereas the Nationwide League-best Mets had a 97.3 % probability to make the playoffs (70.1 % as NL East champs, 27.2 as a wild card). Insert joke right here concerning the Mets naturally pulling off the 1-in-40 collapse.