our best prop and same-game parlay

Forward of Sunday’s spherical of 16 conflict, we’re right here to supply FIFA World Cup predictions for the match between England and Senegal.

However, as an alternative of specializing in the primary market, we’ve analyzed the myriad prop markets obtainable to bettors and can present our greatest choice in that subset. Then, we’ll hand out a same-game parlay that bettors in newer jurisdictions can benefit from within the hopes of discovering one other winner.

Odds come courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook and are reflective at time of writing.

Harry Kane Anytime Objective (+125)

Frankly, there’s a little bit of narrative connected to this play as Kane has but to attain on this event, which makes this an awesome buy-low spot.

Now, he will get to go in opposition to a Senegal protection that has appeared shaky at occasions and has struggled to defend the center of the pitch. Of their first group match in opposition to the Netherlands, Senegal’s protection surrendered 0.83 anticipated targets heading in the right direction (xGOT) to Cody Gakpo, who operated in the identical function as Kane for that match, per fotmob.com.

Then, within the dying moments of the sport, supervisor Aliou Cisse’s squad conceded one other purpose off 0.83 xGOT to Davy Klassen, who usually performs as a real quantity 10 however slotted right into a central striker function for the ultimate 10 minutes and alter.

Plus, Senegal might be lacking a key central midfielder in Idrissa Gueye, so I ponder if that may additional exploit their drawback by means of the middle of the sector.

One other ingredient price contemplating right here is that Kane has concerned himself within the targets regardless of failing to seek out the again of the web himself. By way of three group video games, he’s produced three assists, that means he’s been concerned in a 3rd of England’s whole targets.

Based mostly on these outputs, I’ll take Kane to attain at +110 or higher in opposition to Senegal.

England to Win & Whole Underneath 3.5 Targets (-121)

I acknowledge England posted six targets in opposition to Iran, nevertheless it’s typically not of their nature to blow groups out.

Even in opposition to a Wales protection I fee miles behind Senegal, they nonetheless created solely 2.46 anticipated targets and 4 huge scoring probabilities, per fotmob.com. On Sunday, I anticipate Senegal to pack it in and hope to beat England on the counter whereas surrendering as few probabilities as attainable.

Plus, this stays a Senegal squad that had been victims of top-notch ending in opposition to the Netherlands as they conceded solely 0.67 anticipated targets in opposition to 2.09 xGOT.

All that mentioned, I don’t understand how Senegal’s assault does sufficient to maintain up with England. Granted, they put up 1.21 xGOT in opposition to an honest Netherlands backline, however this would be the finest protection the AFCON champions have confronted all event.

With out talisman Sadio Mané, Senegal gained’t probably get on the board right here in opposition to a protection that has stored two consecutive clear sheets.

Again this same-game parlay at -130 or higher.