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Today’s D Brief: More US weapons to Ukraine; Berlin stays mum on tank decision; Russian forces advance; DCIA to Kyiv; And a bit more.

JONATHAN DESVERNEY by JONATHAN DESVERNEY
January 21, 2023
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The US is sending extra air protection weapons to Ukraine, together with eight Avenger techniques and extra Nationwide Superior Floor-to-Air Missile Programs. That’s together with 59 extra Bradley Preventing Autos, 90 Strykers, 53 extra MRAPs, and 350 up-armored humvees. It’s all a part of the newest $2.5 billion arms bundle from Washington, which was introduced Thursday night by the Pentagon. 

“Russia is working out of ammunition,” Pentagon chief Lloyd Austin mentioned Friday earlier than the eighth assembly of the U.S.-led Ukraine Contact Group at Germany’s Ramstein Air Base. “It is struggling important battle losses, and it is turning to its few remaining companions to resupply its tragic and pointless invasion,” Austin mentioned. 

However “Russia is regrouping, recruiting, and attempting to re-equip,” the protection secretary continued. “This isn’t a second to decelerate; it’s a time to dig deeper. The Ukrainian individuals are watching us. The Kremlin is watching us. And historical past is watching us. So we can’t let up, and we can’t waver in our willpower to assist Ukraine defend itself from Russia’s imperial aggression.”

Austin visited his new German counterpart in Berlin Thursday. The 2 army chiefs mentioned NATO, safety within the Pacific area, and “centered on the way in which forward” for the struggle in Ukraine, in accordance with a readout from Austin’s staff.  

However German officers nonetheless decline to authorize sending their tanks to Ukraine, as a number of Baltic states try to do. And this reluctance from Chancellor Olaf Scholz seems to be in sync with the need of voters in Germany, in accordance with a current survey from YouGov, which confirmed 43% of respondents opposed the concept of sharing tanks with Ukraine whereas 39% permitted. State-owned broadcaster Deutsche Welle has extra, here. (A second survey confirmed comparable outcomes—however shifted to 46% supporting the choice to share tanks with Ukraine, and 43% opposed. Tiny bit extra on that from Reuters, right here.) 

For what it’s value, Germany’s new protection minister says Berlin isn’t standing in allies’ means in the event that they need to ship tanks to Ukraine. “The impression that has sometimes arisen, that there’s a closed coalition and Germany was standing in the way in which, this impression is mistaken,” Protection Minister Boris Pistorius mentioned Friday at Ramstein.

That may very well be partly why a prime Polish official mentioned Warsaw might go forward and ship its tanks and not using a greenlight from Scholz and Pistorius. “I believe that if there’s sturdy resistance, we will probably be able to take even such non-standard motion,” mentioned Deputy International Minister Pawel Jablonski on Friday. Nonetheless, he cautioned, “In the intervening time we try to make Germany not solely agree [to] these tanks being despatched by Poland or different international locations, but additionally to take action themselves.” 

There are reportedly greater than 100 battle tanks Germany may ship to Ukraine, and German firms are able to just do that, in accordance with Reuters, reporting Thursday. That features Berlin’s Leopard tanks in addition to refurbished British-made Challenger 1 tanks.

By the way in which: If Kyiv is in search of a “game-changer” on this battle, German tanks aren’t it, the Wall Avenue Journal reported Thursday. “There’s not a specific weapon system that could be a silver bullet; a stability of all techniques is required,” U.S. Military Gen. Christopher Cavoli, NATO’s Supreme Allied Commander Europe, advised reporters Thursday. “A tank comes all the way down to a stability between firepower, mobility and safety,” he mentioned, and known as these “the holy trinity of capabilities.”

One large downside is the related provide chain and upkeep course of for any tanks. That’s partly why NATO chief Jens Stoltenberg advised Reuters Friday, “We want additionally to keep in mind that we have to not solely deal with new platforms, but additionally to make sure that all of the platforms that are already there can operate as they need to.” 

Denmark simply introduced it’s sending all 19 of its French-made howitzers to Ukraine. At the least eight different nations mentioned they’re sending extra weaponry to Ukraine as effectively on Thursday, together with Estonia, Latvia, and Poland sending Stinger missile techniques, s-60 anti-aircraft weapons, and extra. 

Protection continues under…


D From Protection One

US, Allies Push Armor and Rockets Into Ukraine // Patrick Tucker: The help bundle comes amid worries a couple of Russian spring offensive.

Protection Business Decries Potential GOP-led Spending Cuts // Marcus Weisgerber: AIA letter begs lawmakers to keep away from one other sequestration deal.

Welcome to this Friday version of The D Transient, delivered to you by Ben Watson with Jennifer Hlad. In the event you’re not already subscribed to this text, you are able to do that right here. On at the present time in 1887, U.S. Senators quietly approved the Navy to lease Hawaii’s Pearl Harbor as a naval base.


Russian forces are advancing past the captured Ukrainian metropolis of Soledar and into Klischiivka, which is on the outskirts of the japanese Donbass metropolis of Bakhmut, the place each Ukrainian and Russian parts have fought since not less than Might. That’s in accordance with state-run media TASS, citing army spokesman Lieutenant-Normal Igor Konashenkov.
The entrance traces round Soledar are “always shifting, unpredictably, typically by a number of kilometers a day,” the BBC reported on location Thursday. Why, and what’s subsequent? “Privately, some Ukrainian troopers have blamed poor coordination between totally different items for the lack of Soledar and have acknowledged that Russia might now be higher positioned to encircle the far larger and strategically extra essential neighboring city of Bakhmut, to the south.” Learn extra, right here.
CIA Director William Burns traveled to Kyiv late final week for a secret assembly with President Volodymir Zelesnkyy, the Washington Publish reported Thursday and Reuters later confirmed. Burns reportedly mentioned continued U.S. help to Ukraine regardless of a Republican majority within the Home of Representatives. It’s some extent Nationwide Safety Advisor Jake Sullivan introduced up about 10 days in the past in remarks to reporters in Washington. 
“I believe to deal with what I imagine is definitely a definite minority of a single occasion to conjure this narrative that one way or the other there are deep divisions or a real menace to enduring American help for Ukraine is misplaced,” Sullivan mentioned. “As a result of I believe the overwhelming majority of Democrats and Republicans who’re elected officers and the overwhelming majority of the American individuals proceed to strongly help the coverage of offering Ukraine the means to defend itself towards Russian aggression. And I believe that cuts throughout all elements of our nation, individuals from all walks of life, as a result of individuals perceive what’s at stake right here.”
In the meantime within the Pacific, there seems to be a Russian spyship simply hanging out off the coast of Hawaii, the U.S. Coast Guard introduced Wednesday. It’s been there for a couple of weeks; and it’s not breaking any legal guidelines, so the Coast Guard simply wished to tell us that it’s conscious of the scenario.
“As a part of our each day operations, we observe all vessels within the Pacific space via floor and air property and joint company capabilities,” mentioned Cmdr. Dave Milne. “The Coast Guard operates in accordance with worldwide legal guidelines of the ocean to make sure all nations can do the identical with out concern or contest,” he mentioned, and famous, “That is particularly crucial to safe freedom of motion and navigation all through the Blue Pacific.” You’ll be able to see a video of the Russian vessel at work over on DVIDS, right here.
Further studying: 

The U.S. Nationwide Guard has expanded its coaching of Taiwanese troops, Nikkei Asia reported Friday.
Background: When Sen. Tammy Duckworth, D-Sick., visited the island in Might, Taiwan President Tsai Ing-Wen in Might introduced the U.S. and Taiwan had been planning army “cooperation,” however didn’t present particulars on what that cooperation would entail. The fiscal 2023 Nationwide Protection Authorization Act consists of the “Taiwan Enhanced Resilience Act,” of which Duckworth was a proponent. That laws requires the Secretary of State to “strengthen the United States-Taiwan protection relationship,” however doesn’t point out Nationwide Guard coaching. Learn extra, right here. 

And lastly this week: The U.S. Military’s new squad weapon has a brand new identify: The XM/M7. The service had in March designated the Subsequent Era Squad Weapons Rifle the XM5, however then realized that Colt Industries makes use of that identify for one in all its weapons, the Military mentioned in a press launch emailed to reporters. The service’s new computerized rifle will nonetheless be often called the XM250 or M250. 

Have a secure weekend, everybody. And we’ll catch you once more on Monday!





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