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nifty outlook: Nifty to recover towards 18400-500 level; F&O traders can short straddle: ICICIdirect

JONATHAN DESVERNEY by JONATHAN DESVERNEY
January 22, 2023
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Technique Positions:
Promote 25 Jan 18050 Name at 93; Promote 25 Jan 18050 Put at 89; Goal: 10; Cease loss: 280 (1 Lot Every)

Rationale:
The Nifty recovered marginally final week, and regardless of the weak point seen on Friday, it closed the week within the inexperienced. The resumption of FII flows into markets helped Nifty to outperform international indices. Nonetheless, the outperformance of Nifty may be attributed to know-how and

twins, whereas broader markets have underperformed. Going forward, we count on the Nifty to recuperate in the direction of 18400/500 ranges with assist close to CMP, contemplating the Put base and January VWAP ranges.

From an information perspective, throughout the current restoration, the Nifty noticed closure amongst brief positions as FIIs closed their shorts final week. Furthermore, the prevailing excessive Nifty premium has declined significantly in the previous couple of classes and is simply shut to twenty factors forward of the month-to-month settlement. Nonetheless, aggressive Name writing is sustained at ATM and OTM strikes which can act as an instantaneous hurdle. Nonetheless, acceleration could be seen if Nifty can transfer above 18,200 ranges.

Expertise heavyweights have supplied much-needed assist to the market amid better-than-expected quarterly outcomes with choose infra shares. We consider that optimistic bias in these shares ought to proceed to lend assist to the market.

The volatility index has not risen a lot and remains to be beneath the 15 ranges suggesting an expectation of restricted declines. Nonetheless, a breakout within the ongoing vary of 17800 and 18200 might set off an increase in volatility till then, non-directional methods may be adopted.
As we’re retaining our view consolidation therefore, we advise merchants to go for a brief straddle choice technique. It’s a 2 leg choice technique and consists of promoting ATM strike of Name and Put choices. Nonetheless, one must be cautious on either side as technique will begin making losses if the Nifty strikes above 18250 or strikes beneath 17850.

Merchants will probably be in most revenue if Nifty expires close to 18000 ranges on the Jan 25 expiry.

(Raj Deepak Singh is an F&O analyst at ICICIdirect)

“Management is just not about being in cost. Management is about taking good care of these in your cost.” – Simon Sinek



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